Column by Not Gretchen Bulova:
A Survey USA poll shows 51% of Virginians approving of the job George Allen is doing in the Senate, 31% disapprove, and 18% are unsure. Although certainly not great numbers, these numbers do signal that Allen will win re-election.
In order to defeat Allen in November, Democrats will need to lower his approval ratings into the lower 40's and bring his disapproval ratings into the lower 40's. There are 2 basic ways to accomplish this.
The first, is Allen causing it himself. Stupid comments (i.e. Senator Bunning in Kentucky in 04), stupid ads (i.e. Kilgore Death Penalty), and not campaigning. None of these seem likely as Allen is a seasoned campaigner with a top notch presidential staff working for him.
The most likely scenario is for the Democrats to go on the attack, go on the attack early and stay on the attack. Without negative ads directed at Allen's record, Democrats don't stand much of a chance. Even in this negative Republican political climate, the Democrats must go on the offensive to win in November.
P.S. Sorry I've been away so long!