Looks like Jim Lay is forming a PAC in anticipation of a primary to David Englin in the 45th District.
This is going to be an interesting primary. Primary voters in this district are very liberal, and Englin's legislative record matches up very well with that. I don't see any issues that will allow Lay to gain a lot of traction.
On the other hand, Englin only scored 30% of the vote in last years six way primary. Lay got 12%, so 58% of voters didn't vote for either one of them. Lay would need to win those voters by a 2-1 margin to catch up to Englin, which again is difficult when you consider he is challenging Englin from the right in a Democratic Primary.
Many of Englin's detractors in the party just don't like him personally. My theory on it is they don't like him because the insiders don't control him, but part of it may just be personality issues.
The real question is- why a PAC?
Lay should just form a Delegate committee and run instead of forming a PAC that will flow into a later Delegate campaign. It's misleading, and that is not a good way to start a primary challenge. Is he trying to trick Englin supporters into donating to his campaign?
My early feeling on this race, is it will come down to whether "insiders" in the district vote on issues or on personality. It's actually kind of a sad spectacle to watch.