MAJORITY WATCH

Column by Not Gretchen Bulova:

KELLAM 50

DRAKE 45

It's officially poll day at NLS!

UPDATE 1:  It doesn't look like Feder is going to make the cut for the DCCC to play a large role in the campaign. 

Comments

[Doug in Mount Vernon]

Holy crap, we are all pulling it out in the end!

Judy doesn't need the DCCC, she's kickin' butt on her own--saw her and Frankie's commercials on NBC 4 this morning, and her's was SO much better, classy, and relevant.

DEMS ARE KICKIN' IT!!

[phriendlyjaime]

Looks like the wave hit Virginia...

[Jim]

Is Allen going to pull down Drake too?

Where is this polling data from?

[truthteller]

NGB,

Feder is in the Red to Blue Program & getting 75,000 from D-trip. That's not going to turn the race by itself, but its not chopped liver either.

Just because they didn't poll Feder in this round doesn't mean she isn't competitive. Wolf isn't ignoring her & neither should NLS readers...

RT Strategies. 10/24-26. Likely voters. MoE 2.9-3.1%

[phriendlyjaime]

http://www.majoritywatch.com/

link

[ifthethunderdontgetya]

Spammer at 8:14 needs deleting...ouch it hurts my eyes!

[SE VA MWC Alum]

NGB do you have links? wOULD be interesting to see crosstabs/

Doug in MV-Hope you are right. But I am still concerned. still seems ltike Drake has more momentum here than Kellam although it looks like going to be very close. Honestly a recount would not surprise me.

[Matthew]

See, this is what happens when we outsource our national security to the Far East as George Allen supports...

[phriendlyjaime]

Oh, this douche again?

[Doug]

Just to poke a stick in a Republican's eye- but that huge spam- straight out of China most likely funded by a large portion of our $8 Trillion national debt. Thanks George and George!

[Doug]

Please leave the spam, it's an object lesson in having no national debt!

[SE VA MWC Alum]

Also there is an excellent thread on Bearing Drift by Ragnar. He is writing about all of the attacks challenging people's patriotism and how they need to stop (from both sides) Both the left and right should read this,

M-D has her up big on the Eastern Shore; this one has her down big. If you ask me, I'd give M-D the nod for reliability in this region.

[SE VA MWC Alum]

I would too anon, but the truth is probably somewhere in between especially if the MOE's overlap.

[not gretchen bulova]

Truthteller -

I meant it doesn't look like they are going to run ads. They put out a list of about 12 new candidates they are targeting during the final week and she wasn't one of them.

[not gretchen bulova]

Spam be gone!

[phriendlyjaime]

Allen attacks:

http://westofshockoe.blogspot.com/2006/10/newest-allen-smear_30.html#links

[SE VA MWC Alum]

Furthermore it seems intuitively that Kellam would lead over there. Some of his family is from over there, and the ES counties unlike so many rural counties are not reliable for either party. Accomac which has more population looks like it has a slight r lean whereas Northampton looks like it has a dem lean-probably a stronger one than Accomac's r lean

[bitpicnic]

How come the poll font size has reduced so dramatically for these polls? If anything, poll font sizes should expand until election day; finally culminating with the final results that require browser side-scrolling to view.

Also, a mere single exclamation point? And no bold face + italic + underline emphasis in over a dozen posts?

Is the NLS staff depressed or something?

[ifthethunderdontgetya]

I'm guessing the NLS staff is trying to be bipartisan in their non-jubilant font choice.

DOESN'T MEAN I HAVE TO, THOUGH!!!!

YIPPEE!

[not gretchen bulova]

no, it's because NLS is much smarter than me with Typepad.

SE VA MWC --

Pardon me if I don't trust your intuition, since I don't know you. I'd rather look at the facts and the science, and not your spin.

[Dannyboy]

Good day for Dems in Virginia. Polls showing leads in the two potential pick-ups.

Check out the latest Reuters Poll as of Nov. 1st:

VIRGINIA 2 - First-term Republican Rep. Thelma Drake, who was trailing slightly in early October, moved into a 51 percent to 43 percent lead over Democrat Phil Kellam in this conservative and military-oriented Virginia Beach district.

DRAKE 51
KELLAM 43

Charlie Cook also mentioned last night that RT Strategies should be ignored.

Here is the link to the story:

http://today.reuters.com/news/articlenews.aspx?type=politicsNews&storyID=2006-11-01T124926Z_01_N31247205_RTRUKOC_0_US-USA-ELECTIONS-POLL-HOUSE.xml&WTmodLoc=PolNewsHome_C2_politicsNews-1

[Lynne]

Why would Cook say to ignore RT Strategies? Doesn't he partner with them? Also, I don't believe the Reuters Poll for a second. 2CD in Va traditionally performs around 42%. It is VERY unbelievable that Phil is only able to capture 1% more than that given the national climate...even in a conservative district like VA-2.