Incumbent: Charles Hawkins
Recent Results in Senate District
George Bush 46,348 (61.2%)------------------Jerry Kilgore 26,730 (55.3%)
John Kerry 29,359 (38.8%)-------------------Tim Kaine 21,645 (44.7%)
George Allen 34,056 (61.2%)------------------Yes on Marriage 40,990 (75.3%)
Jim Webb 21,624 (38.8%)-------------------No on Marriage 13,426 (24.7%)
The 19th Senate District is a fairly simple district that takes in Southside counties from the border of Roanoke out east. While Danville is trending Democratic, the district is drawn carefully and no statewide Democrats have won here in a long time.
In the Presidential Election George W. Bush won this district with ease. Bush lost Danville City which he won in 2000, but still cruised to a 61-39 victory here district-wide.
Jerry Kilgore got 55% here, which was a good margin for him. In the Governor's race, 4,000 of Kilgore's 5,000 vote margin came out of Pittsylvania County.
Jim Webb got an almost identical vote total to Tim Kaine in this district (21,645-21,624). But George Allen crushed the number for Jerry Kilgore (34,056-26,730). This ran Allen's percentage back to 61.2%, one of the few districts in Virginia where Allen got the same or better percentage than Bush in 2004.
The Marriage Amendment did well here, in fact the "Yes" vote was the most popular thing on the statewide ballot here recently, receiving 75.3%, or 14% more than President Bush or George Allen got here. The marriage amendment won every locality here by over a 2-1 margin.
Looking forward to 2007, I have this district rated as "Safe Republican". Not only is there a big GOP margin here, but it is spread out between Franklin, Campbell and Pittsylvania counties. However, one Democrat could make this district very competitive, former Delegate Whitt Clement could be a force if he came back in an open seat race. I don't see any other Democrat that could defeat a Republican here if Hawkins retires as expected.
Coming next: Newman, Ruff, Deeds, Hanger, Obenshain, Lucas, Quayle, Blevins, Stolle, Wagner, Rerras, Miller, Williams, Locke, Norment, Watkins, Marsh, Martin, Lambert, Stosch, McDougle, Houck, Chichester, Potts, Herring, Colgan, O'Brien, Puller, Cuccinelli, Howell, Devolites-Davis, Saslaw, Ticer, Whipple.