2007

A few posts on 2007:

Eileen takes a close look at the 6th Senate District, currently held by Nick Rerras.  This is demographically, the most vulnerable GOP Senate seat outside of Northern Virginia.
(Outlook:  Leans Republican)

Vivian Paige has information on the challenger to Paula Miller.
(Outlook:  Leans Democratic)

I'm Not Emerill has the scoop on the challenger to Roscoe Reynolds.  This is one of three Bush/Kilgore/Bolling/McDonnell/Allen/Yes Senate seats the Democrats currently control.  Certainly worth watching.
(Outlook:  Leans Democratic)

Also, more information on why tomorrow in our look back at Prince William County this year, but Jeff Frederick's organization continues to impress.  He has a Kerry/Kaine/Byrne/Deeds/Webb district, but he continues to gain traction at home.
(Old Outlook:  Toss Up
New Outlook:  Slight-Lean Republican)

New Virginia House Outlook:

---------------SAFE     LIK    LEAN     TU     LEAN   LIK   SAFE
Western---------12-------6-------2-------0--------2--------3------2
Northern----------2-------3-------4-------1--------3---------3-----10
H. Roads----------5-------4-------3-------0--------2---------0------7
Richmond---------5--------4-------1------0--------0----------0------4
Other--------------6--------1-------1------0--------1----------1-------2
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--------------------30-------18------11-----1-------- 8---------7-------25

Comments

Jesus! This looks like the Kate Griffith's outlook.

Republicans picking up seats? My word.

[Mason Conservative]

Anon 10:56

Manouli Loupassi (sp?) is favored to take down Waddell.

[TRS]

Vivian Paige's information on Paula Miller's opponent might change. Friends of Hank Giffin has said that he is reconsidering running. Maybe because Hank and the Republican Party have looked at the numbers. It will be very hard to beat Miller in a district that Phil Kellam, Jim Webb and Tim Kaine carried. Paula won the district handily last time with 2 opponents. She won all of the Republican precincts except for one which she only lost by 8 votes and it happened to be her Republican opponent's home precinct. The district has changed in demographics since it was redrawn in 2000.

[PWC Voter]

You forgot to factor in Fredrick's fundraising. He is consistently a top-5 fundraiser, notwithstanding he's a junior member of the house.

[truthteller]

With McQuigg's in play and targeted by the Dems, I would not move Frederick into the advantage. The single factor possibly holding the Dems back is recruiting. If they get a top flight candidate, I'd move the race to leans-Democrat, Frederick's fundraising and organization notwithstanding!

[PWC Voter]

With McQuigg's seat now open, the D's would be dumb to put another half-mil into Fredrick's race when he keeps winning, raises lots of money, and the neighboring district is such a great opportunity for them. Anything they put into Fredrick's race, they can't put into McQuigg's seat.