I just got back from visiting some precincts in the special election going on today in Prince William County.
3:28 P.M. PROJECTION: Mike May has defeated Jeff Dion.
The Board of Supervisors remains 6 Republicans and 2 Democrats.
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Congrats to George Mason Law alum Mike May!
Posted by: Houdon | January 30, 2007 at 03:30 PM
I guess they vote early in Occoquan.
Posted by: asmith | January 30, 2007 at 03:33 PM
Let me be the first to thank PhriendlyJaime for making that possible.
Without your careless posts and rants about BLBL, many mainstream Dems would have never known about Dion's personal matters.
Thanks again, PhriendlyJaime, for causing many NoVa Democratic contributors for hesitating to donate to Jeff's campaign.
You're special.
Posted by: | January 30, 2007 at 03:34 PM
Does anyone else think this could be sweet for Dion's ex wife? Once the kids get older she can honestly tell them that Jeff lost because he chose a man over her. For anyone who has been through a breakup- how sweet is that?
Posted by: | January 30, 2007 at 03:41 PM
Huh? I wrote one piece on my blog. ONE. One on RK, where there have been numerous posts and diaries and comments by OTHERS about his personal life.
I don't even know what you mean by BLBL.
But I feel way honored that you, my dear anon, think I am powerful enough to swing an election. I guess JMDD is DEFINITELY done for now, huh?
Call Chap, Ben! HE WON BECAUSE OF ME!
MEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!
Posted by: phriendlyjaime | January 30, 2007 at 03:42 PM
Jaime: You just never know when to shut your mouth, something I'm sure you learned in NJ.
Posted by: | January 30, 2007 at 03:47 PM
I like your attitude, Ben, but I don't count my chickens etc.
Posted by: James Young | January 30, 2007 at 03:49 PM
Damns, anon! I feel like I just got BYYYYYYYYYYYRRRRRNNNNNNNED!
Posted by: phriendlyjaime | January 30, 2007 at 03:54 PM
Ben, I need a graphic. You know, me, with my huge mouth, stealing elections all over the place. I think anon agrees. I am so powerful, it hurts, seriously.
Posted by: phriendlyjaime | January 30, 2007 at 03:56 PM
PJ:
Should read BVBL. If you don't understand what that means, then buy a clue.
As far as Chap v. JMDD, STAY THE HELL AWAY FROM THAT RACE.
Chap is doing just fine on his own, and there are lots of supporters who are on the ground helping him. Webb supporters, Miller supporters, Hurst supporters, Longmyer supporters, Connolly supporters, Byrne supporters -- all of us are united in the 34th District to beat JMDD.
You lack common sense and reasonability. So please, keep quiet and your fingers off the keyboard when it comes to "helping" Chap.
Posted by: | January 30, 2007 at 04:03 PM
Oh, now see, if you had actually typed BVBL, I would know what you meant. But you typed BLBL, so I had no clue.
You need to get over me, by the way. Jeez, obsess much?
Posted by: phriendlyjaime | January 30, 2007 at 04:07 PM
You know, since we've been branding people racist for superficial reasons over the last few months, does anyone else think that Chap! looks like a young George Wallace? Check out some of the pictures of Wallace after he came back from WWII.
Posted by: Poli-Carp | January 30, 2007 at 04:10 PM
Ok, let me be the first to ask.
On what basis are you making this call? Lack of Dion vols at the polls, your on personal "exit polls"?
Hard to believe that you can call this early w/o any data.
Let us know how you did it.
Posted by: Nate de la Piedra | January 30, 2007 at 04:21 PM
Will this put you at 99.9% accurate?
Posted by: asmith | January 30, 2007 at 04:23 PM
I did it, Nate. I did it. I wished for it, and I got it. Duh.
Posted by: phriendlyjaime | January 30, 2007 at 04:29 PM
Ben's calling it early, but I trust him. The dude usually knows what he's talking about when he calls something. He called Webb's victory days before the AP did.
Congrats, Mr. May.
Posted by: Dannyboy | January 30, 2007 at 04:45 PM
This is a dangerous projection. Regular family voters usually vote in two's (one dick and one place to put it). Homosexuals can line up behind each other and so can possibly vote in the hundreds as one large chain. So in a low turnout election, it only could take one homosexual chain to put Dion over the top.
Posted by: | January 30, 2007 at 04:50 PM
Anon 4:50 is in the early running for comment of the year.
Posted by: BWAHAHAHAHAHA | January 30, 2007 at 04:53 PM
NLS
It really would help if you gave us the reason for your prediction. Did you talk to the poll workers? Do an impromptu exit poll? Count bumper stickers?
Enquiring minds want to know.
Posted by: | January 30, 2007 at 05:01 PM
It is probably a combination of it all Anon 5:01
In the past NLS has used past turnout vs. current turnout. Ideas about the race before hand, election day workers and asking people who vote.
Posted by: not gretchen bulova | January 30, 2007 at 05:06 PM
Webb did win this district, but NLS is probably thinking this is more of a Davis/Hurst type matchup. According to Vince Rockledge 14%, Old Bridge 11%, Lake Ridge 8%, and Bethel 7% have the highest turnout. Those precincts would favor May. Springwoods 3%, Mohican 5%, and Occoquan 4% have the lowest turnout and are likely going for Dion.
Posted by: asmith | January 30, 2007 at 05:17 PM
"Homosexuals can line up behind each other".....
Oh, that's funny.....
Posted by: republitarian | January 30, 2007 at 05:31 PM
Didn't NLS call it for Creigh Deeds?
Posted by: ZB | January 30, 2007 at 06:09 PM
Again with the anal sex references. So much more to gay male sex than that...pity you boys are so limited in your imagination. Pity your bored wives too... ;-)
Posted by: TLM | January 30, 2007 at 07:15 PM
When do the polls close, and where can we see the election results?
Posted by: Nate de la Piedra | January 30, 2007 at 07:16 PM