Republished from earlier this month:
1) John Warner will announce his retirement from the U.S. Senate
2) Tom Davis and Jim Gilmore will both file for the open Senate seat
3) Mark Warner will file for the Democrats
4) The state GOP will decide on a convention, Dems will go with a primary
5) Facing the 10,000 signature hurdle and the Warner name, no other Dem will file and Mark will get the nomination unopposed
6) Republicans will battle all the way into the convention.
7) With the field set for the Senate, Brian Moran, Creigh Deeds, Bob McDonnell and Bill Bolling will all begin their 2009 campaigns for Governor.
8) Numerous downballot candidates will see the open LG and AG seats and begin running for those in both parties.
9) George Allen will not run for the Senate and will wait and see how strong McDonnell and Bolling are before deciding on 2009.
10) Mark Warner will be the slight favorite over Tom Davis or Jim Gilmore in the open Senate seat, but in a Presidential year that race will get very close at the end. Should either Republican upset Warner, he will jump into the 2009 Governors race to redeem himself.
11) Republicans will select a convention for their 2009 ticket and whether they allow Governor's race losers to run downballot later in the convention (i.e. no filing deadline) will determine a lot of how the downballot looks.
12) Democrats will select a 2009 statewide primary locking Deeds and Moran into the Governor's race and leaving a very open field downballot.