Special Election Today on the Northern Neck
Albert Pollard is strongly favored (We rated it "Safe Democratic Pickup") to win back his old seat in the House of Delegates over Lee Anne Washington. This is for the seat vacated by Congressman Rob Wittman when he moved up in December.
This will mark the 15th time in the six years Bill Howell has been Speaker than a Republican seat has flipped. (21st, 23rd, 32nd, 34th, 35th, 41st, 43rd, 51st, 67th, 68th, 83rd, 87th, 90th, 100th and now the 99th).
This will also take the Democrats within 5 seats of a majority in the House, leaving the breakdown at 53-45-2.
Fred2Blue has some analysis up that I totally agree with for people who need more info.



Howell is not sufficiently conservative.
He has failed the pro-life movement with his vicious comments against the Most Hon. Richard Black and the replica babies.
Savagery
Posted by: t | February 18, 2008 at 10:00 PM
question because I don't know... who do the two independents generally caucus with/get opposed by?
Posted by: Sam | February 18, 2008 at 10:09 PM
They are Republicans for most purposes.
Posted by: Not Larry Sabato | February 18, 2008 at 10:11 PM
J-Fred or Bobby Marsh would be acceptable replacements.
Posted by: t | February 18, 2008 at 10:55 PM
The two moron Independents (Abbitt and Putney) caucus with the Republicans. Well, I only know for sure that Abbitt is a moron — don't know about Putney.
Lee Anne Washington is a fear-mongering demagogue.
Anyway: Vote Albert Pollard!
Or I'll get you. :)
Posted by: Timothy Watson | February 18, 2008 at 11:30 PM
Ben, Fred2Blue bumped the post and it has a new URL:
http://fred2blue.wordpress.com/2008/02/19/a-not-so-subtle-reminder-to-the-voters-of-the-northern-neck/
Posted by: Timothy Watson | February 19, 2008 at 01:09 AM
Good choice to go with a local story since you embarrassed yourself shoveling Hillary's sewage about speeches.
Posted by: dcBill | February 19, 2008 at 06:34 AM
I know Putney caucuses with the GOP, but I thought Abbitt didn't caucus with anyone and basically disassociated himself from the Dem caucus to save his seat in the last round of redistricting.
Posted by: Not Ben | February 19, 2008 at 06:38 AM
That's correct. However the question was who do they caucus with/get opposed by- and he gets opposed by Democrats, thus...
Posted by: Not Larry Sabato | February 19, 2008 at 08:54 AM
Nice local story Ben.
to dcBill: One hopes that Obama is a better president than his friend Patrick is a governor. Patrick has a whopping 48% positive approval rating in a wildly liberal state. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=f1c0f1cc-3246-44cf-aa36-aaad8c0879ea For some people, words are the only thing they can do well.
Posted by: | February 19, 2008 at 09:07 AM
C'mon Ben, I know you like to call races early. Just say "At 11:58am, Albert Pollard (in bold, blue) has won the 99th district." Make everybody happy...
Posted by: CarolineProgressive | February 19, 2008 at 12:00 PM
Too close to call while I am at lunch. Let me take a look now. :-)
Posted by: Not Larry Sabato | February 19, 2008 at 02:23 PM