Not Larry Sabato:

$1,000,000 Per Foot

Wow. How about a walking escalator?

October 31, 2010 | Permalink | Comments (7) | TrackBack (0)

This is CLASSIC

Welcome to Charlottesville!

October 30, 2010 | Permalink | Comments (29) | TrackBack (0)

Virginia Congressional Preview

1st Congressional
Safe Republican

Rob Wittman may be headed to a landslide victory, but Krystal Ball got an action figure out of the campaign. I say that makes both of them winners.

2nd Congressional
Leans Republican (Pickup)

Glenn Nye's campaign has been entertaining as he attempts to slash and burn Scott Rigell and turn Democrats out to vote. Unfortunately for him, many people in his own base hate him worse than a Republican for being such a turncoat in Congress. Hence, I don't think his strategy is going to work- this one goes to the GOP on Tuesday.

3rd Congressional
Safe Democratic

I hope Bobby Scott doesn't get discouraged by the results Tuesday around the rest of the country. Virginia Democrats need him to stick around.

4th Congressional
Safe Republican

Randy Forbes wins without a problem here.

5th Congressional
Leans Republican (Pickup)

It felt like Tom Perriello was turning things around the last couple weeks and really putting Robert Hurt on the defensive, but bringing Barack Obama to the 5th will halt that momentum. This looks like another GOP pickup on Tuesday.

6th Congressional
Safe Republican

For the fifth time in the last six cycles, Democrats have failed to even have a candidate against Bob Goodlatte.

7th Congressional
Safe Republican

Hopefully Eric Cantor enjoyed this campaign, because 2012 and his likely primary challenge from the Tea Party is not going to be fun for him.

8th Congressional
Likely Democratic

Jim Moran will underperform here again- and as always it will be self-inflicted. But the 8th is just too Democratic for a Republican to make a run at- and Patrick Murray isn't the guy who could do that anyway.

9th Congressional
Toss Up

Somehow, I don't think Tom Perriello will be on Rick Boucher's Christmas card list this year after he brings Barack Obama into the 5th today and dominates many of the shared media markets with the 9th with coverage of Obama. This race has been trending to Morgan Griffith all summer, and if turnout were at Presidential year levels, I think Griffith would have this race locked up. Griffith's problem is that Boucher will crush him among seniors- and seniors will vote in droves in the 9th CD this year.

Griffith's voters are greater in number, and less likely to show up. If turnout is high, Griffith wins- if it's low Boucher will pull it out.

10th Congressional
Safe Republican

Earlier this year, Jeff Barnett's campaign manager bragged to some people about his "strategy" of hoping blogs like this one ignored his race to avoid any critiques of his candidate or their performance. When I heard, I decided to give them what they wanted. I'm sure the biggest fan of their "strategy" is Frank Wolf.

11th Congressional
Toss Up

It's hard to imagine a candidate as dumb as Keith Fimian beating Gerry Connolly in an election in Northern Virginia. But honestly, I've got no idea what's going to happen here on Tuesday. There's no question this is close and both campaigns are being very careful of which voters they are speaking to. This may be one race that comes down to ID's and who had the better lists.

October 29, 2010 | Permalink | Comments (48) | TrackBack (0)

Mark Kelly Is Such A Douchebag

I totally missed this- apparently Mark Kelly's big attack against the Arlington County Board was Miles Grant moving to Falls Church? Is it possible to run a more vacuous campaign?

October 28, 2010 | Permalink | Comments (12) | TrackBack (0)