One of the things smart political campaigns do is ignore their biggest weakness and pretend it is actually a strength. Many times by using this tactic the media will totally miss the weakness in the first place.
Paul Ryan may be an asset to the GOP ticket in many ways, and in many states. He could put some states into play in the midwest. We'll see. But there is no swing state where he is a bigger liability then here in Virginia and that's probably why Romney is bringing him here first.
The Ryan budget has dramatic cuts to federal spending phased in over the next decade. These cuts would require a major reduction in the federal workforce. No area in the country would be as hard hit by this budget than the DC metro area.
What would Northern Virginia look like with these cuts? Tens of thousands of fewer jobs, millions of square feet of additional vacant office space, etc. Every business would be hit from fewer customers, local governments would see their revenues decline, and property values would take dramatic falls, trapping many people in underwater mortgages.
But it's not just Northern Virginia that would suffer. Almost every county outside of Northern Virginia in the state has an education composite index at the state level that gives it far more in revenue than its local taxpayers send to Richmond. Why is that? Northern Virginia pays huge chunks of the basic education costs all over the state. Without that revenue source, Richmond would find itself in far worse budget situations than even what was seen at the lowest point of the recent great recession. Big cuts to federal spending in Northern Virginia will hit the entire state.
This is no doomsday scenario- this is the reality if the Ryan budget is voted into law. It's already passed the U.S. House, and the Romney-Ryan ticket is embracing it. A switch of a couple Senate seats and this could be law as early as next year.
Mitt Romney literally just declared war on Virginia. This state will not be anything like it is today if he is elected and the Romney-Ryan budget goes into law. That's why they decided to come here first- and hope that no one notices the fine print.