As always we will be back here tonight for election projections in Virginia as the results begin to come in. During the day, you can see my updates on twitter, by clicking here.
In the election today, all 11 Virginia Congressman (8R, 3D) will be returned to office. I'll be surprised if any of them have a race within ten percentage points.
In the Senate race, Tim Kaine has a healthy lead over George Allen who never seemed to grasp that it was no longer 1993. We are rating this as a "Likely Democratic" hold, and my best guess would be a Kaine margin of 7%.
In the Presidential race in Virginia, Barack Obama has regained the momentum and heads into election day with the advantage here over Mitt Romney. We are rating this as a "Leans Democratic" hold. If I had to guess margin, I would say around 4% of the vote.
It's quite possible for the first time in modern history that we will see Virginia voting as a state to the left of the decisive tipping point state elsewhere. This is because of the exploding demographics here. In fact, Obama should be going from a 250K margin to a 400K margin this year in Virginia, and the fact that he will be well short of that is a credit to the GOP's campaign. But without a national tidal wave, they won't be able to turn Virginia red in 2012, and it may be another generation or two until this state votes Republican for President again.
One thing I am watching closely today is any voter suppression that's attempted. Please contact me on email (bentrib AT gmail dot com) during the day if you see anything happen at your polling place. I'm posting a video below so you can see why this is such a big concern this year.
See you back here at 7 pm tonight.