Tomorrow the 33rd Senate District will pick between John Whitbeck, Jennifer Wexton and Joe May on who their new Senator will be. But the consequences are much greater than a single State Senator- with Republicans holding 20 seats, Democrats holding 19 (pending a recount) and a Democratic Lt. Governor to break ties, this seat will determine Senate control.
Special elections are always unpredictable- a few years ago Charniele Herring only won by 17 votes in the most Democratic seat in Northern Virginia- so we never "rate" them here. But this one could be even more unpredictable than usual. Why?
Weather forecasts are calling for 2-4 inches of snow in the DC area tomorrow. Out in Loudoun County they always get more snow (higher ground near mountains) especially in the west. In the Leesburg area, this storm might bring more like six inches, while the eastern reaches in Herndon might be closer to three.
Who does this benefit? It certainly hurts former Delegate Joe May who is trying to establish a base of Independents and squish voters. Between Jennifer Wexton and John Whitbeck- this will hurt whichever candidate has softer support. That's hard to gauge, but Loudoun Republicans tend to do very well when turnout gets low- that's why they have a 9-0 advantage on the local Board of Supervisors.
If you live in the 33rd District- don't let a few inches of snow stop you- get yourself to the polls!